Panel vintageSeptember 1, 202653 synthetic assetsDemonstration data — no real listings, no addresses
Parcel
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SNY-03

Sunnyslope · Phoenix, AZ 85020 · Duplex · 2 doors

ActiveDuplexBuilt 1962
Asking
$468,000
Est. rent / mo
$3,420
Est. cap rate
5.50%
Est. cash-on-cash
-1.21%
Est. DSCR
0.94
Rent / price
0.731%
$ / sq ft
$229
Est. cash flow / mo
-$130

At the baseline set: 25% down, 6.75%, 30-year amortisation. Estimates.

Representative stock photography of Phoenix-metro residential product. These are not photographs of this asset — there is no such asset. This panel publishes a code and a submarket and nothing finer, because a plausible house number on a real street is a real house, and putting an invented price under a photograph of one is the thing this whole demonstration exists to avoid.

The read

Separately metered on both utilities, which is unusual for 1962 stock and removes the largest single expense variable on a small multifamily.

  • Two 2/2 units
  • Separately metered electric and water
  • Private yards
  • No shared walls above grade

Facts

Physical
Property typeDuplex
Units2
Bedrooms / bathrooms2 / 2
Living area2,040 sq ft
Lot9,583 sq ft
Year built1962 (64 yrs)
Stories1
ParkingCarport x2
Panel codeSNY-03
LocationSunnyslope, Phoenix 85020
Carry — estimated
Property tax / yr$2,710
Insurance / yr$1,490
HOA / moNone
Other fixed / yr$900
Total est. operating / yr$12,816
HVAC installed2016
Roof installed2019
Water providerCity of Phoenix
FEMA flood zoneZone X

Underwrite it

Every figure below recomputes as you move an input. Nothing is rounded until it is printed, and operating expenses never include debt service — that separation is what makes the cap rate a property of the building and the cash-on-cash a property of your deal. All outputs are estimates.

Purchase & financing
Income
Operating expenses

Monthly cash flow

−$130

after debt service, before tax

Cap rate

5.50%

NOI ÷ purchase price

Cash-on-cash

-1.21%

cash flow ÷ cash invested

DSCR

0.94

NOI ÷ annual debt service

Where the gross rent goes

  • Vacancy$2,462
  • Operating$12,816
  • Debt service$27,319
  • Cash flow$0
Annual income statement — estimated
Gross scheduled income$41,040
Less vacancy & credit loss−$2,462
Effective gross income$38,578
Less fixed operating−$5,100
Less variable operating−$7,716
Net operating income$25,762
Less annual debt service−$27,319
Pre-tax cash flow-$1,557
Loan amount$351,000
Monthly principal & interest$2,277
Cash invested$128,700
Operating expense ratio33.2%
Break-even occupancy97.8%
Gross rent multiplier11.4
Rent-to-price ratio0.731%

Estimated figures produced by a model from the assumptions on the left. Not an offer, an appraisal, a loan quote or investment advice. Taxes, insurance and operating expenses are estimates; verify each before you commit capital.

What it would have to cost

The asking price against three solved thresholds

Rent and every operating line held exactly as stated; only the purchase price moves. Each mark is the price that solves one condition. Nothing here is a price history: this asset has none, and inventing one would be the easiest dishonest thing on the page.

Solved prices, holding rent and operating expenses fixed. At the asking price this asset computes to a 5.50% cap rate, -1.21% cash-on-cash and a DSCR of 0.94.
ConditionPricevs askWhat it means
Current asking price$468,000The number on the panel. Everything below is measured against it.
DSCR 1.00$441,500−5.7%net operating income exactly covers the mortgage; cash flow is zero
Leverage turns (5.84%)$441,500−5.7%above this cap rate the loan adds to the return instead of subtracting from it

Asking price carried on the submarket index

The current asking price projected backwards on the Sunnyslope median-price index. Arithmetic on two synthetic series — not an appraisal, not a price history and not a record of any transaction.

Comparables

Rent is compared per unit, which is the only fair basis across a house and a fourplex. The subject sits 14.8% above the median of its five closest comparables.

Monthly rent per unit

Drawn from the panel itself, ranked by product family, unit size, bedroom count and proximity at the resolution this data has: same submarket, then same city.

  • SNY-03Subjectsubject · 2/2 · 1,020 sq ft/unit
    $1,710
  • ALH-04Same city · 2/2 · 880 sq ft/unit
    $1,540
  • ALH-05Same city · 4/4 · 820 sq ft/unit
    $1,485
  • GLC-02Elsewhere in metro · 2/2 · 940 sq ft/unit
    $1,575
  • WMS-04Elsewhere in metro · 2/2 · 860 sq ft/unit
    $1,490
  • ENC-03Same city · 6/6 · 697 sq ft/unit
    $1,400
Table
Monthly rent per unit — full data. Drawn from the panel itself, ranked by product family, unit size, bedroom count and proximity at the resolution this data has: same submarket, then same city.
ComparableDetailRent / unit / mo
SNY-03 (subject)subject · 2/2 · 1,020 sq ft/unit$1,710
ALH-04Same city · 2/2 · 880 sq ft/unit$1,540
ALH-05Same city · 4/4 · 820 sq ft/unit$1,485
GLC-02Elsewhere in metro · 2/2 · 940 sq ft/unit$1,575
WMS-04Elsewhere in metro · 2/2 · 860 sq ft/unit$1,490
ENC-03Same city · 6/6 · 697 sq ft/unit$1,400
Price comparables — 3 nearest assets of the same product type
AssetSubmarketProximityAskSq ft$ / sq ft
SNY-03 SubjectSunnyslope$468,0002,040$229
ALH-04AlhambraSame city$398,0001,760$226
GLC-02Glendale CentralElsewhere in metro$412,0001,880$219
WMS-04West MesaElsewhere in metro$372,0001,720$216

Sensitivity

What a five-percent move in price or fifty basis points on the rate does to the return. Computed at the baseline assumption set, not at whatever you have set the calculator to — it is a fixed reference.

Sensitivity — cash-on-cash by price and rate

Every other assumption held at the baseline set. A fixed reference, not tied to the calculator above. Estimates.

Cash-on-cash return by purchase price and interest rate
Price \ Rate5.75%6.25%6.75%7.25%7.75%
$430,500−8%2.7%1.6%0.5%-0.6%-1.7%
$449,500−4%1.7%0.7%-0.4%-1.5%-2.6%
$468,000ask0.9%-0.1%-1.2%-2.3%-3.4%
$486,500+4%0.2%-0.9%-2.0%-3.1%-4.2%
$505,500+8%-0.6%-1.6%-2.7%-3.8%-4.9%

Cash-on-cash-4.9% → 2.7%

What to check before you commit

  • HVAC

    Condenser installed 2016, 10 years old. Inside normal service life for this climate, so the CapEx reserve carries it rather than a year-one line item.

  • Roof

    Roof dates to 2019, 7 years old — inside the window most carriers will write without a surcharge.

  • Flood

    FEMA Zone X. Outside the mapped special flood hazard area; a lender will not require separate flood coverage.

  • Water allocation

    Served by City of Phoenix. Long-run Colorado River and Central Arizona Project allocation is a genuine risk to price on the metro’s growth edges over a 10-to-20 year hold. It is a discount-rate question, not a next-quarter question.

  • No HOA

    No association. Nothing constrains rental use at the community level, and there is no fixed monthly charge in the expense line.