Panel vintageSeptember 1, 202653 synthetic assetsDemonstration data — no real listings, no addresses
Parcel
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ALH-01

Alhambra · Phoenix, AZ 85017 · Single-family

ActiveSingle-familyBuilt 1961
Asking
$372,000
Est. rent / mo
$2,125
Est. cap rate
4.03%
Est. cash-on-cash
-6.59%
Est. DSCR
0.69
Rent / price
0.571%
$ / sq ft
$246
Est. cash flow / mo
-$562

At the baseline set: 25% down, 6.75%, 30-year amortisation. Estimates.

Representative stock photography of Phoenix-metro residential product. These are not photographs of this asset — there is no such asset. This panel publishes a code and a submarket and nothing finer, because a plausible house number on a real street is a real house, and putting an invented price under a photograph of one is the thing this whole demonstration exists to avoid.

The read

Turnkey. Nothing here needs doing, which is exactly why the yield is thin — you are paying the previous owner for the rehab margin.

  • Recent full renovation
  • New electrical panel (2022)
  • Xeriscaped
  • No HOA

Facts

Physical
Property typeSingle-family
Units1
Bedrooms / bathrooms3 / 2
Living area1,512 sq ft
Lot7,100 sq ft
Year built1961 (65 yrs)
Stories1
Parking2-car carport
Panel codeALH-01
LocationAlhambra, Phoenix 85017
Carry — estimated
Property tax / yr$2,160
Insurance / yr$1,680
HOA / moNone
Other fixed / yr$360
Total est. operating / yr$8,994
HVAC installed2022
Roof installed2021
Water providerCity of Phoenix
FEMA flood zoneZone X

Underwrite it

Every figure below recomputes as you move an input. Nothing is rounded until it is printed, and operating expenses never include debt service — that separation is what makes the cap rate a property of the building and the cash-on-cash a property of your deal. All outputs are estimates.

Purchase & financing
Income
Operating expenses

Monthly cash flow

−$562

after debt service, before tax

Cap rate

4.03%

NOI ÷ purchase price

Cash-on-cash

-6.59%

cash flow ÷ cash invested

DSCR

0.69

NOI ÷ annual debt service

Where the gross rent goes

  • Vacancy$1,530
  • Operating$8,994
  • Debt service$21,715
  • Cash flow$0
Annual income statement — estimated
Gross scheduled income$25,500
Less vacancy & credit loss−$1,530
Effective gross income$23,970
Less fixed operating−$4,200
Less variable operating−$4,794
Net operating income$14,976
Less annual debt service−$21,715
Pre-tax cash flow-$6,739
Loan amount$279,000
Monthly principal & interest$1,810
Cash invested$102,300
Operating expense ratio37.5%
Break-even occupancy120.4%
Gross rent multiplier14.6
Rent-to-price ratio0.571%

Estimated figures produced by a model from the assumptions on the left. Not an offer, an appraisal, a loan quote or investment advice. Taxes, insurance and operating expenses are estimates; verify each before you commit capital.

What it would have to cost

The asking price against three solved thresholds

Rent and every operating line held exactly as stated; only the purchase price moves. Each mark is the price that solves one condition. Nothing here is a price history: this asset has none, and inventing one would be the easiest dishonest thing on the page.

Solved prices, holding rent and operating expenses fixed. At the asking price this asset computes to a 4.03% cap rate, -6.59% cash-on-cash and a DSCR of 0.69.
ConditionPricevs askWhat it means
Current asking price$372,000The number on the panel. Everything below is measured against it.
DSCR 1.00$256,500−31.0%net operating income exactly covers the mortgage; cash flow is zero
Submarket median cap (5.82%)$257,500−30.8%the price at which this asset yields what its submarket already yields
Leverage turns (5.84%)$256,500−31.0%above this cap rate the loan adds to the return instead of subtracting from it

Asking price carried on the submarket index

The current asking price projected backwards on the Alhambra median-price index. Arithmetic on two synthetic series — not an appraisal, not a price history and not a record of any transaction.

Comparables

Rent is compared per unit, which is the only fair basis across a house and a fourplex. The subject sits 1.6% below the median of its five closest comparables.

Monthly rent per unit

Drawn from the panel itself, ranked by product family, unit size, bedroom count and proximity at the resolution this data has: same submarket, then same city.

  • ALH-01Subjectsubject · 3/2 · 1,512 sq ft/unit
    $2,125
  • ALH-02Same submarket · 3/2 · 1,348 sq ft/unit
    $1,950
  • DVY-03Same city · 3/2 · 1,540 sq ft/unit
    $2,160
  • MRV-05Same city · 3/2 · 1,460 sq ft/unit
    $2,010
  • SNY-01Same city · 3/2 · 1,595 sq ft/unit
    $2,260
  • STM-02Same city · 3/2 · 1,610 sq ft/unit
    $2,180
Table
Monthly rent per unit — full data. Drawn from the panel itself, ranked by product family, unit size, bedroom count and proximity at the resolution this data has: same submarket, then same city.
ComparableDetailRent / unit / mo
ALH-01 (subject)subject · 3/2 · 1,512 sq ft/unit$2,125
ALH-02Same submarket · 3/2 · 1,348 sq ft/unit$1,950
DVY-03Same city · 3/2 · 1,540 sq ft/unit$2,160
MRV-05Same city · 3/2 · 1,460 sq ft/unit$2,010
SNY-01Same city · 3/2 · 1,595 sq ft/unit$2,260
STM-02Same city · 3/2 · 1,610 sq ft/unit$2,180
Price comparables — 4 nearest assets of the same product type
AssetSubmarketProximityAskSq ft$ / sq ft
ALH-01 SubjectAlhambra$372,0001,512$246
ALH-02AlhambraSame submarket$328,0001,348$243
STM-03South MountainSame city$336,0001,355$248
MRV-01MaryvaleSame city$312,0001,284$243
MRV-04MaryvaleSame city$268,0001,146$234

Sensitivity

What a five-percent move in price or fifty basis points on the rate does to the return. Computed at the baseline assumption set, not at whatever you have set the calculator to — it is a fixed reference.

Sensitivity — cash-on-cash by price and rate

Every other assumption held at the baseline set. A fixed reference, not tied to the calculator above. Estimates.

Cash-on-cash return by purchase price and interest rate
Price \ Rate5.75%6.25%6.75%7.25%7.75%
$342,000−8%-3.2%-4.2%-5.3%-6.4%-7.5%
$357,000−4%-3.8%-4.9%-6.0%-7.1%-8.2%
$372,000ask-4.5%-5.5%-6.6%-7.7%-8.8%
$387,000+4%-5.0%-6.1%-7.2%-8.3%-9.4%
$402,000+8%-5.6%-6.6%-7.7%-8.8%-9.9%

Cash-on-cash-9.9% → -3.2%

What to check before you commit

  • HVAC

    Condenser installed 2022, 4 years old. Inside normal service life for this climate, so the CapEx reserve carries it rather than a year-one line item.

  • Roof

    Roof dates to 2021, 5 years old — inside the window most carriers will write without a surcharge.

  • Flood

    FEMA Zone X. Outside the mapped special flood hazard area; a lender will not require separate flood coverage.

  • Water allocation

    Served by City of Phoenix. Long-run Colorado River and Central Arizona Project allocation is a genuine risk to price on the metro’s growth edges over a 10-to-20 year hold. It is a discount-rate question, not a next-quarter question.

  • No HOA

    No association. Nothing constrains rental use at the community level, and there is no fixed monthly charge in the expense line.